Appendix E Exceptional Tournament Score Probability Table
Net Differential |
0-5 |
6-12 |
13-21 |
22-30 |
Greater than 30 |
0 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
-1 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
8 |
7 |
-2 |
23 |
22 |
21 |
13 |
10 |
-3 |
57 |
51 |
43 |
23 |
15 |
-4 |
151 |
121 |
87 |
40 |
22 |
-5 |
379 |
276 |
174 |
72 |
35 |
-6 |
790 |
536 |
323 |
130 |
60 |
-7 |
2349 |
1200 |
552 |
229 |
101 |
-8 |
20111 |
4467 |
1138 |
382 |
185 |
-9 |
48219 |
27877 |
3577 |
695 |
359 |
-10 |
125000 |
84300 |
37000 |
1650 |
874 |
The values in the table are the odds of shooting a net differential* EQUAL TO OR BETTER THAN the number in the left column.
*A net differential is the subtraction of a player's Handicap Index from the Handicap Differential for a particular tournament score. This becomes a negative value when the player scores much better than the player's Handicap Index.
Example: A player with a Handicap Index of 10.5 shoots a 74 from a set of tees with a USGA Course Rating of 71.2 and a Slope Rating of 126.
(74 - 71.2) = 2.8 x 113 / 126 |
|
= 2.5 Handicap Differential |
2.5 - 10.5 |
|
= - 8.0 Net Differential |
From the chart, the odds are 4,467 to 1 of this occurring.
|